hermanosisicomono
0xc0bf7e8ddec29dd01f76fe31f21339aca803b4cd
- Realised P&L
- $-13.0k
- Volume
- $628.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $5.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.013 | $2.6k | −$5.7k |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.530 | 0.555 | $1.6k | +$73.95 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.010 | $302.71 | −$32.51 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · No | 0.166 | 0.037 | $283.32 | −$967.62 |
| Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · No | 0.656 | 0.143 | $190.12 | −$678.86 |
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? · No | 0.133 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-28.10at 0.005Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-241.20at 0.014Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-1.2kat 0.017Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 01:34 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0349507823 | $53.30 |
| 08-23 01:32 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0308081356 | $253.04 |
| 08-20 16:16 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.045 | $0.90 |
| 07-30 18:07 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.002 | $5.46 |
| 07-29 15:51 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.73 | $25.55 |
| 07-29 15:47 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.6788599658 | $107.19 |
| 07-29 15:46 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.6866666667 | $10.30 |
| 07-29 15:44 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.6933333333 | $10.40 |
| 07-29 15:35 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.81379662 | $111.72 |
| 07-29 15:34 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.76 | $8.92 |
| 06-27 23:16 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.007 | $141.71 |
| 06-27 23:16 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.008 | $118.76 |
| 06-27 23:15 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.009 | $96.44 |
| 06-27 23:14 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.01 | $79.22 |
| 06-27 23:13 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.011 | $48.32 |