PolyBot

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Traders

BasedJonStewart

0xc094f0be1359b8850b232c6119ef50d784e997a1

Realised P&L
$10.1k
Volume
$210.6k
Markets traded
196
Open portfolio
$14.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded196
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 18:59Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.7599999985$100.00
10-25 21:41Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3457842709$500.00
10-25 21:40Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.98$980.00
09-25 19:51Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6199999999$585.55
07-09 01:27Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.14$140.00
07-06 22:56Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?BUY0.89$36.49
05-11 17:46Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?BUY0.16$2.31
05-11 17:46Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?BUY0.14$36.32
04-28 14:06Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?SELL0.46$27.08
04-12 19:11Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.98$1.9k
04-07 22:47US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.405$162.00
04-07 17:05Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.4442240359$490.00
04-07 17:04Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.983$491.50
04-07 14:46US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.964$183.16
04-02 01:14Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.47$23.50