hominh95
0xc0836d0e7285f186ec8174229e6aa798c2980376
- Realised P&L
- $325.62
- Volume
- $15.4k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $72.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.604 | 0.905 | $71.99 | +$23.95 |
| Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026? · Yes | 0.322 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$24.96 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.36 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.65 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.81 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.80 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.62 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.24 |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 · Nongshim Red Force | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$114.12at 0.589Jazz vs. Mavericks
- +$99.29at 0.335Raptors vs. Heat
- +$90.90at 0.591Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
- +$65.76at 0.603Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$63.41at 0.313Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 15:51 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6039605937 | $48.04 |
| 05-20 15:48 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.3299999947 | $29.24 |
| 05-20 15:46 | LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | BUY | 0.001 | $2.96 |
| 05-20 15:45 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0919999917 | $9.62 |
| 05-19 04:05 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.589999999 | $97.77 |
| 05-18 16:22 | Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.37 |
| 05-16 07:44 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.2289999967 | $48.36 |
| 05-16 07:38 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.1899999845 | $7.72 |
| 05-09 05:13 | Pistons vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.6199999905 | $19.57 |
| 05-09 05:11 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0209999958 | $4.80 |
| 05-09 05:11 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.086999984 | $4.81 |
| 05-09 05:10 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.153999988 | $9.64 |
| 05-09 05:10 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.169999988 | $9.65 |
| 05-02 01:52 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.4899999756 | $8.22 |
| 05-02 01:44 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season? | SELL | 0.0807696254 | $3.15 |