pogb
0xc03fd7f514a6d52fe0b8291846717724f6c1249d
- Realised P&L
- $-34.8k
- Volume
- $5.43M
- Markets traded
- 4,257
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,257
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$277.50at 0.075Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
- +$271.91at 0.075Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
- +$245.00at 0.020Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
- +$230.00at 0.080Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
- +$230.00at 0.080Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:48 | Will Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce? | SELL | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 08-03 00:48 | Will Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce? | SELL | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 08-03 00:17 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 08-02 21:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $860.00 |
| 08-02 18:30 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 13:50 | Will Mallory McMorrow endorse Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.45 |
| 08-02 06:05 | Will Péter Bárándy be the next President of Hungary? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.09 |
| 08-02 02:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.48 | $5.68 |
| 08-02 02:12 | Will "The Pitt" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.46 | $5.86 |
| 08-01 18:13 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.793 | $249.99 |
| 08-01 17:25 | Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | SELL | 0.15 | $7.59 |
| 08-01 16:56 | Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | SELL | 0.16 | $6.40 |
| 08-01 08:27 | Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.62 | $186.00 |
| 08-01 07:21 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $21.00 |
| 08-01 07:21 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $21.00 |