enhancingevolution
0xc0321ef66987e6475556382bc28e1ed9ddbfe99c
- Realised P&L
- $6.78
- Volume
- $342.63
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $162.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government? · No | 0.926 | 0.942 | $67.06 | +$1.06 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No | 0.974 | 0.977 | $25.68 | +$0.07 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No | 0.844 | 0.830 | $19.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) be in the next Swedish government? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $15.71 | −$0.02 |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? · Yes | 0.839 | 0.746 | $14.20 | −$1.77 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No | 0.980 | 0.972 | $9.91 | −$0.09 |
| US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? · No | 0.975 | 0.966 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.925 | $4.87 | −$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.62at 0.897Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28?
- +$2.13at 0.777Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?
- +$0.02at 0.996Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 20:21 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.9189999993 | $46.00 |
| 10-03 20:13 | Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.82 | $47.24 |
| 10-03 20:10 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.8239999989 | $5.97 |
| 09-29 06:40 | Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.7699999937 | $24.36 |
| 09-29 06:39 | Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 21:01 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.9739999312 | $5.61 |
| 09-28 21:01 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.973999948 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 20:58 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.973999948 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 20:57 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 20:38 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.9219999987 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 20:26 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 20:26 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 20:23 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 20:14 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.8009999847 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 20:12 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.7099999517 | $10.00 |