Edi12
0xc0311eb82700be2fdc08d875ea4de2bc1e402c43
- Realised P&L
- $-219.17
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 358
- Open portfolio
- $328.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded358
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.91at 0.650Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
- +$25.35at 0.664Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 29?
- +$23.19at 0.716Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?
- +$20.94at 0.806Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
- +$20.85at 0.700Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 19:43 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.45 |
| 09-11 06:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 09-08 20:36 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.699999916 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 18:06 | Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 14:22 | Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 15:01 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 09-03 04:36 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 13:13 | Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 09-01 18:11 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 11:24 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 11:23 | Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999674 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 11:23 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 11:22 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.7199998618 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 12:27 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.8499997824 | $3.32 |
| 08-21 10:59 | Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.555 | $11.10 |