0xc02f5512116f2dc2a6498689572f165d7fed772a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.81
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 185
- Open portfolio
- $27.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded185
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? · No | 0.340 | 0.665 | $7.82 | +$3.82 |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.322 | $5.55 | +$3.55 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.555 | $3.83 | +$1.83 |
| Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.795 | $3.00 | +$1.00 |
| Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · No | 0.811 | 0.873 | $2.15 | +$0.15 |
| No one announced as next James Bond? · No | 0.775 | 0.766 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.238 | $1.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.445 | $1.37 | −$0.63 |
| Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.48at 0.229Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stage
- +$27.29at 0.352Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
- +$22.32at 0.411Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 5?
- +$22.04at 0.394Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
- +$21.48at 0.321Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 21:46 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 01:12 | Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 00:42 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York? | SELL | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 00:00 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-11 08:22 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 08-11 08:08 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 08-11 01:04 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.1159999508 | $2.00 |
| 08-10 17:31 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.7749999612 | $2.00 |
| 08-10 16:08 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.2899999275 | $2.00 |
| 08-10 04:48 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 18:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 18:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 17:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 03:31 | Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | BUY | 0.8109995986 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 12:35 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | SELL | 0.16 | $2.13 |