PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

singularity.

0xc01810684e41185d17428aca692f588a2b36ead1

Realised P&L
$1.43
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$695.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.6560.640$208.90−$5.10
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31? · No0.6450.635$133.87−$2.13
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6200.595$95.97−$4.03
Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026? · No0.7470.675$36.14−$3.86
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? · No0.6710.685$32.69+$0.69
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? · No0.7300.765$31.44+$1.44
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.850$22.08+$2.08
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? · No0.9400.910$19.36−$0.64
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6380.635$18.90−$0.10
Nothing Ever Happens: October · Nothing0.9400.935$18.90−$0.10
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by October 31? · No0.9310.900$17.40−$0.60
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 13, 2026? · Yes0.9600.997$10.38+$0.38
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? · No0.8800.855$9.72−$0.28
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? · No0.7700.850$8.83+$0.83
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026? · No0.9300.950$8.17+$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 18:52Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?BUY0.947001149$3.00
10-12 18:52Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?BUY0.91$2.00
10-12 18:52Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?BUY0.91$4.00
10-11 09:53Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.68$2.00
10-11 09:52Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?BUY0.6299999685$6.00
10-09 21:00Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6699999966$14.00
10-09 20:59Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6699999993$100.00
10-09 20:57Will JD Vance say "Illegal Alien" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
10-09 20:56Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8599999613$8.00
10-09 20:54Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7699999992$20.00
10-09 20:54Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6699999987$30.00
10-09 20:53Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7299999895$30.00
10-09 20:51Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by October 31?BUY0.9309999716$18.00
10-09 20:50Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberBUY0.939999998$19.00
10-09 20:48Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?BUY0.7699999548$8.00