singularity.
0xc01810684e41185d17428aca692f588a2b36ead1
- Realised P&L
- $1.43
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $695.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.56at 0.935Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?
- +$0.31at 0.963Will Russia target Kyiv on October 10, 2026?
- +$0.28at 0.960Will Russia target Kyiv on October 8, 2026?
- +$-1.02at 0.420Will JD Vance say "Illegal Alien" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 18:52 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.947001149 | $3.00 |
| 10-12 18:52 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 18:52 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.00 |
| 10-11 09:53 | Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 10-11 09:52 | Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31? | BUY | 0.6299999685 | $6.00 |
| 10-09 21:00 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999966 | $14.00 |
| 10-09 20:59 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 10-09 20:57 | Will JD Vance say "Illegal Alien" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 20:56 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999613 | $8.00 |
| 10-09 20:54 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $20.00 |
| 10-09 20:54 | Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999987 | $30.00 |
| 10-09 20:53 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999895 | $30.00 |
| 10-09 20:51 | Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by October 31? | BUY | 0.9309999716 | $18.00 |
| 10-09 20:50 | Nothing Ever Happens: October | BUY | 0.939999998 | $19.00 |
| 10-09 20:48 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | BUY | 0.7699999548 | $8.00 |