PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gnohms

0xc0093d201a1b2302899163b4b7187ace44cc4a17

Realised P&L
$-25.50
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$126.73

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration81.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8900.945$42.47+$2.47
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5100.715$28.04+$8.04
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3700.355$24.95−$1.05
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4200.205$14.64−$15.36
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5980.626$10.48+$0.48
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1400.043$3.07−$6.93
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1500.050$1.67−$3.33
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026? · Yes0.4770.135$1.41−$3.59
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3120.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$5.00
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance · Colombia0.6000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00−$10.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6600.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 21:32Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETBUY0.5$5.00
09-01 12:44Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5099999911$20.00
09-01 12:43Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.8899999996$40.00
07-22 12:43Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3699999925$26.00
07-22 12:42Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.4199999944$30.00
07-20 15:37Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
07-20 15:36Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6599999842$10.00
07-20 15:34Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.34$4.16
07-20 02:26Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3179999872$10.00
07-20 02:26Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.149999976$5.00
07-20 02:23Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0248736419$5.00
07-20 02:22Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3009999703$5.00
07-20 02:22Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4088012808$5.00
07-19 14:06Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.0459999957$10.00
07-15 03:56Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.09$6.43