0xbff64d711e01b54bfee4ed59b7e0c2e2ed7504ab
0xbff64d711e01b54bfee4ed59b7e0c2e2ed7504ab
- Realised P&L
- $1.61
- Volume
- $299.05
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $8.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.800 | 0.855 | $2.45 | +$0.16 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.900 | $1.48 | +$0.48 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No | 0.750 | 1.000 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · No | 0.790 | 0.969 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.715 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.325 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.003 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.003 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.05at 0.227Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$7.60at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$5.03at 0.319SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$4.59at 0.339Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$4.01at 0.369Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 08:23 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 22:31 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:46 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:27 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:13 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 15:03 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:02 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:23 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:11 | Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:09 | Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:07 | Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.4299999512 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 19:04 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2759999817 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 10:52 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999933 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 02:39 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.56 |