kknotgambling
0xbfbaf29e2b6abd3fedf13f0efcf3e9ae31d58983
- Realised P&L
- $-118.38
- Volume
- $25.6k
- Markets traded
- 196
- Open portfolio
- $356.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded196
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$233.06at 0.408Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
- +$167.89at 0.503US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
- +$81.27at 0.668Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
- +$76.69at 0.779Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
- +$60.26at 0.736Celtics vs. 76ers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 20:43 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.815706806 | $95.00 |
| 10-04 22:32 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9628964762 | $70.00 |
| 10-04 22:29 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.899999982 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 22:27 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999942 | $15.00 |
| 10-04 22:26 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999807 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 22:21 | Meta's Watermelon released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 10-03 19:53 | Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Fire? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 19:45 | Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 19:45 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6499999951 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 19:40 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 09:23 | Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? | BUY | 0.2129999946 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 09:15 | Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 09:08 | Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina | BUY | 0.729999954 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 04:18 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.8299999975 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 01:24 | Texas A&M vs. LSU | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |