PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

wmurillo.eth

0xbfb9229834269d13e9e1b5a26dc514066f737898

Realised P&L
$-7.15
Volume
$937.16
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$33.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes0.2870.460$11.75+$4.42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2? · Yes0.6500.745$9.17+$1.17
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · No0.9300.945$4.06+$0.06
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · Yes0.0980.055$2.25−$1.74
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 2? · Yes0.4800.490$2.04+$0.04
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9560.972$2.03+$0.03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2? · Yes0.1300.185$1.42+$0.42
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0450.029$0.63−$0.37
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on September 3? · No0.7200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Solana be above $105 on September 11? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 9? · No0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
HYPE Up or Down - September 4, 11AM ET · Down0.1900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11? · No0.1730.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Solana be above $105 on September 9? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 9? · No0.0270.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 17:19Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 2?BUY0.4799999616$2.00
10-01 17:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
10-01 17:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2?BUY0.6499999878$8.00
09-30 16:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1?BUY0.6099999984$15.00
09-29 21:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 30?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
09-28 15:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29?BUY0.2399999899$3.80
09-25 19:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 26?BUY0.5099999776$5.00
09-10 23:07Will the price of Solana be above $105 on September 11?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
09-10 20:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11?BUY0.203999991$1.00
09-10 20:32Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 12?BUY0.8199999836$4.00
09-10 17:27Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
09-10 17:23Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-10 17:22Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on September 11?BUY0.0232936153$1.50
09-10 17:16Will the price of Solana be above $95 on September 11?BUY0.1239999866$1.00
09-10 17:15Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 12?BUY0.0369999987$1.00