PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3426f52c6c9D5F0B079C6C7F65E722af8F93D599-1771516850459

0xbfb43958933269bf7742ab4128229db0c55eb9a8

Realised P&L
$150.74
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$11.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.050$3.57−$1.43
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0230.029$2.48+$0.48
Astra removed from public access by September 30? · Yes0.0600.026$2.18−$2.82
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0580.030$1.58−$1.42
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0170.009$0.56−$0.44
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.026$0.52−$0.48
Will Trump endorse Yashar in the 2026 Israeli Election? · Yes0.0080.002$0.26−$0.74
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1? · Yes0.1100.001$0.02−$4.98
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$1.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$3.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1690.000$0.00−$15.00
Israel vs. Poland · Israel0.0960.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET · Down0.0370.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$2.00
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET · Down0.1800.000$0.00−$2.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 10:29Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?BUY0.1099999987$5.00
09-13 12:27Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1?BUY0.0615783044$5.00
09-13 09:48Astra removed from public access by September 30?BUY0.0596106232$5.00
09-13 08:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 13?BUY0.04$5.00
09-07 09:31Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0169999831$1.00
09-07 09:31Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.022999989$2.00
09-07 09:31Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0579999828$3.00
09-04 11:40Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
09-02 10:12Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?SELL0.06$3.06
08-27 19:40Israel vs. PolandBUY0.0958313368$2.00
08-27 18:10Will Trump endorse Yashar in the 2026 Israeli Election?BUY0.0077249903$1.00
08-27 18:09Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?BUY0.0980392157$5.00
08-18 20:41Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.008$3.00
08-14 14:32Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 15?BUY0.06$3.00
08-14 14:32Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 15?BUY0.0096666608$1.00