0x3426f52c6c9D5F0B079C6C7F65E722af8F93D599-1771516850459
0xbfb43958933269bf7742ab4128229db0c55eb9a8
- Realised P&L
- $150.74
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $11.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$141.81at 0.007Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?
- +$40.62at 0.025Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?
- +$25.27at 0.040Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?
- +$18.38at 0.357Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$13.77at 0.043Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 10:29 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 12:27 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.0615783044 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 09:48 | Astra removed from public access by September 30? | BUY | 0.0596106232 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 08:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 13? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 09:31 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0169999831 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 09:31 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.022999989 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 09:31 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0579999828 | $3.00 |
| 09-04 11:40 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 10:12 | Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.06 |
| 08-27 19:40 | Israel vs. Poland | BUY | 0.0958313368 | $2.00 |
| 08-27 18:10 | Will Trump endorse Yashar in the 2026 Israeli Election? | BUY | 0.0077249903 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 18:09 | Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | BUY | 0.0980392157 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 20:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.008 | $3.00 |
| 08-14 14:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 15? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 08-14 14:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 15? | BUY | 0.0096666608 | $1.00 |