na6141mi3231bi321321a3213
0xbf8ca056b52d9263f22e82e4dc25797c2f1918fd
- Realised P&L
- $258.48
- Volume
- $82.9k
- Markets traded
- 165
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded165
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$828.47at 0.306Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
- +$615.89at 0.070Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
- +$529.30at 0.229Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?
- +$462.79at 0.244Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of January?
- +$158.40at 0.237Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 19:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.17 | $430.41 |
| 09-11 18:48 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.18 | $455.73 |
| 09-11 18:36 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.9736033179 | $476.54 |
| 08-19 23:57 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.1362907406 | $499.53 |
| 07-29 17:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | SELL | 0.17 | $4.47 |
| 07-29 17:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 17:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 07-29 17:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | SELL | 0.35 | $3.30 |
| 07-29 17:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 17:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 17:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 16:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 16:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 16:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 16:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |