ALIEN
0xbf76181d269aa6027c24ff4da5ebd70e34e011a3
- Realised P&L
- $201.50
- Volume
- $43.4k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $683.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$106.80at 0.150Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$86.59at 0.448Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
- +$59.34at 0.931Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
- +$48.41at 0.693Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$42.37at 0.639Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 11:05 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.5599999987 | $35.34 |
| 10-16 11:04 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2909999986 | $15.00 |
| 10-14 18:23 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.2799999984 | $14.41 |
| 10-14 18:22 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $15.04 |
| 10-05 19:44 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $210.45 |
| 10-05 19:43 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7899999963 | $43.00 |
| 10-05 19:43 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8269999879 | $43.00 |
| 10-05 19:43 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999953 | $43.00 |
| 10-05 19:43 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.6696629881 | $43.00 |
| 10-05 19:42 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9739999929 | $57.00 |
| 10-05 19:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? | BUY | 0.95 | $57.00 |
| 10-05 19:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9639999952 | $57.00 |
| 10-05 19:41 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $20.00 |
| 09-05 12:00 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $321.10 |
| 09-05 12:00 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4899999938 | $37.00 |