hackerman42
0xbf72e93b0c865fc7d8edb9341ea54361580d27e3
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $44.1k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $264.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.810 | 0.855 | $171.00 | +$9.00 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.786 | $86.46 | −$13.54 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.036 | $3.96 | −$79.63 |
| Is Earth flat? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.007 | $2.80 | −$7.20 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.408 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$700.00 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.543 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$900.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$601.50at 0.627Will France win on 2026-06-26?
- +$305.88at 0.805US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$214.99at 0.824Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
- +$78.59at 0.793Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$72.14at 0.639SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 00:20 | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.55 | $549.99 |
| 06-26 00:08 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.03 | $900.00 |
| 06-25 23:20 | Will France win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.6199999995 | $1000.00 |
| 06-25 22:57 | Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.959 | $1000.00 |
| 06-25 22:54 | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.54 | $1000.00 |
| 06-25 22:53 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.4079999998 | $1000.00 |
| 06-17 03:14 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.4699999997 | $700.00 |
| 06-17 02:55 | Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9096381458 | $100.00 |
| 06-17 02:55 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7884592721 | $300.00 |
| 06-17 02:10 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 06-17 02:02 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.8199999999 | $1000.00 |
| 06-15 01:22 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.824 | $800.00 |
| 06-14 23:25 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.775 | $387.50 |
| 06-14 23:24 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.775 | $77.50 |
| 06-11 23:04 | Is Earth flat? | BUY | 0.025 | $5.00 |