sunwuk
0xbf695252c5a50f4a9da34bfc7da779f4110be253
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $269.3k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.223 | 0.226 | $2.5k | +$27.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$812.70at 0.742Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
- +$96.00at 0.286Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?
- +$53.20at 0.845Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- +$40.00at 0.550Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?
- +$2.75at 0.890Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:25 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.56 | $2.2k |
| 09-15 08:20 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.55 | $220.00 |
| 09-10 08:02 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | SELL | 0.34 | $374.00 |
| 09-10 02:33 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.3k |
| 09-08 08:52 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.257 | $14.88 |
| 09-08 08:36 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.259 | $233.10 |
| 09-08 06:40 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.255 | $2.5k |
| 09-07 09:00 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.5k |
| 09-07 08:23 | Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.212 | $6.36 |
| 09-07 06:34 | Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.212 | $4.24 |
| 09-07 06:13 | Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.212 | $4.28 |
| 09-07 04:44 | Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.219 | $4.38 |
| 09-07 04:44 | Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.219 | $4.66 |
| 09-07 04:41 | Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.2331059818 | $14.34 |
| 09-07 04:01 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.497 | $2.6k |