0xbf2b52906c120ef57e8376cd899af3d42e3b5bbf
- Realised P&L
- $3.78
- Volume
- $242.77
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $11.72
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.720 | $2.82 | +$0.82 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.952 | $2.44 | +$0.44 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.805 | $2.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.595 | $1.57 | −$0.43 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.220 | 0.125 | $1.14 | −$0.86 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.125 | $1.14 | −$0.86 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.120 | $0.47 | −$1.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$4.82at 0.460Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?
- +$4.60at 0.310Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$4.57at 0.310Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?
- +$1.80at 0.400Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:21 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 12:07 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 04:02 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 20:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 11:04 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 02:37 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 09:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 08:31 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 23:31 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 14:10 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 13:38 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 05:27 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299997409 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 20:51 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 11:22 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 17:58 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |