0x4dF63E746b71d3a8e
0xbf0fd14d47d8d785ac19f33aafa6985501f128ce
- Realised P&L
- $29.1k
- Volume
- $282.3k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $61.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.517Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
- +$-167.12at 0.499Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:31 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $12.00 |
| 09-17 17:30 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.29 | $372.83 |
| 09-17 16:57 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.082 | $191.22 |
| 09-17 16:51 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.083 | $30.86 |
| 09-17 16:49 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $262.74 |
| 09-17 15:39 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $145.00 |
| 09-17 15:38 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $28.50 |
| 09-17 15:38 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $74.87 |
| 09-17 15:38 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.565 | $11.30 |
| 08-10 21:49 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $100.74 |
| 08-10 21:49 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.80 |
| 08-10 21:49 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $39.60 |
| 08-10 15:26 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $495.19 |
| 08-10 01:16 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $452.34 |
| 08-10 01:14 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $54.54 |