PolyBot

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Traders

ApostolicFerret2146

0xbedc34c53c9da47f14d11698b774e676747bf2d6

Realised P&L
$-100.42
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$5.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3690.170$3.91$4.57
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? · Yes0.3000.110$1.09$1.89
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00$14.50
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$4.00
Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline · Lakers0.2200.000$0.00$6.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 01:31Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.1$1.00
07-17 01:07Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation?BUY0.34$3.40
06-08 23:17Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?BUY0.018$1.08
05-02 04:27Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETBUY0.25$1.00
04-23 19:19Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during healthcare event?BUY0.1799999772$5.61
04-23 19:15Will Trump say "Go ahead" 3+ times during healthcare event?BUY0.6$4.84
04-13 16:32Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
04-05 05:26XRP Up or Down - April 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETBUY0.3099998295$0.90
04-05 01:05Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.3899998479$0.91
04-04 19:55Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.5$0.93
04-04 19:54Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETSELL0.06$0.25
04-04 19:52Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETBUY0.2299998275$0.89
04-04 19:47Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETBUY0.2699998542$0.89
04-04 19:45Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?BUY0.29999982$1.00
04-03 03:40Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETBUY0.239999856$0.89