PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xBEDB181455FF820d1bD4742D39dC0006Ab397Dd7-1733247138991

0xbedb181455ff820d1bd4742d39dc0006ab397dd7

Realised P&L
$-37.89
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$32.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · No0.9971.000$16.64+$0.04
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 20? · No0.9940.986$15.87−$0.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 13:03Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 20?BUY0.994$16.00
10-18 08:50Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 18?BUY0.9929999993$26.00
10-17 23:32Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?BUY0.9969999999$16.60
10-13 16:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 14?BUY0.999$13.20
10-11 18:25Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.995$24.00
10-08 09:01Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.998$25.00
10-07 00:12Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.997$24.00
10-06 01:53Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 7?BUY0.9974858259$29.10
10-03 19:52Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?BUY0.9969999999$29.80
10-02 00:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 2?BUY0.9949999594$24.00
09-28 07:42Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?BUY0.9949999878$29.00
09-26 05:44Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27?BUY0.996$32.10
09-23 03:58Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.998$35.90
09-21 15:40Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on September 21?BUY0.9976676345$22.00
09-20 14:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 21?BUY0.998$33.30