0xBEDB181455FF820d1bD4742D39dC0006Ab397Dd7-1733247138991
0xbedb181455ff820d1bd4742d39dc0006ab397dd7
- Realised P&L
- $-37.89
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $32.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $16.64 | +$0.04 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 20? · No | 0.994 | 0.986 | $15.87 | −$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.20at 0.992Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$0.17at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 18?
- +$0.15at 0.994Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$0.15at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 12?
- +$0.14at 0.995Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 13:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.994 | $16.00 |
| 10-18 08:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.9929999993 | $26.00 |
| 10-17 23:32 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $16.60 |
| 10-13 16:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.20 |
| 10-11 18:25 | Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.995 | $24.00 |
| 10-08 09:01 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.00 |
| 10-07 00:12 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $24.00 |
| 10-06 01:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.9974858259 | $29.10 |
| 10-03 19:52 | Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $29.80 |
| 10-02 00:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.9949999594 | $24.00 |
| 09-28 07:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | BUY | 0.9949999878 | $29.00 |
| 09-26 05:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.996 | $32.10 |
| 09-23 03:58 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $35.90 |
| 09-21 15:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.9976676345 | $22.00 |
| 09-20 14:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.998 | $33.30 |