77sfds
0xbed576e6714aa37b5439bcbb8ee4d7eb573a0483
- Realised P&L
- $-19.92
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $250.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.63at 0.442U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.98at 0.393US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
- +$0.92at 0.764Will the Washington Nationals hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?
- +$0.90at 0.740LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs
- +$0.79at 0.819Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 15:29 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.941 | $4.97 |
| 08-16 04:52 | Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $4.56 |
| 08-13 18:42 | Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $3.02 |
| 08-11 11:42 | UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $4.82 |
| 08-11 01:21 | Will the Washington Nationals hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? | SELL | 0.75 | $4.47 |
| 08-09 23:42 | Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | SELL | 0.67 | $4.14 |
| 08-09 16:55 | Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | SELL | 0.66 | $4.03 |
| 08-08 19:41 | Will Russell Westbrook play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.74 | $4.66 |
| 08-08 11:56 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $5.08 |
| 08-07 01:34 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.47 |
| 08-06 02:53 | Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? | SELL | 0.447 | $2.68 |
| 08-05 21:24 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $4.91 |
| 08-05 20:03 | Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | SELL | 0.59 | $3.79 |
| 08-05 17:28 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $2.77 |
| 08-05 17:27 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | SELL | 0.55 | $4.05 |