77sfds
0xbed576e6714aa37b5439bcbb8ee4d7eb573a0483
- Realised P&L
- $-11.14
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 132
- Open portfolio
- $201.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded132
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.14at 0.600Will the Washington Nationals hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?
- +$0.79at 0.819Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
- +$0.73at 0.650Will Jonathan Kuminga play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
- +$0.70at 0.790Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$0.57at 0.390RipCars FDV above $1.5M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 22:23 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $1.92 |
| 07-30 14:45 | Will the Cincinnati Reds have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season? | SELL | 0.583 | $4.50 |
| 07-29 09:27 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | SELL | 0.56 | $4.65 |
| 07-28 12:44 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 07-28 04:16 | LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 07-28 00:52 | Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $6.5B and $8B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.56 | $3.90 |
| 07-27 20:46 | Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? | SELL | 0.614 | $4.59 |
| 07-27 17:53 | Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | SELL | 0.67 | $4.78 |
| 07-27 15:24 | Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $3.21 |
| 07-27 14:18 | Will the Washington Nationals hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? | SELL | 0.74 | $6.01 |
| 07-27 12:47 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 07-27 10:56 | Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $4.00 |
| 07-27 04:38 | Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.149 | $0.54 |
| 07-27 03:30 | Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.64 |
| 07-27 02:58 | Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.887 | $4.77 |