swattykatty
0xbed40306116905ae027b5fa5350914144d7a7d0d
- Realised P&L
- $8.31
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $282.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat? · Yes | 0.956 | 0.967 | $56.82 | +$0.65 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-08 House seat? · No | 0.948 | 0.980 | $56.65 | +$1.82 |
| Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.951 | 0.952 | $56.65 | +$0.06 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · No | 0.941 | 0.949 | $56.19 | +$0.47 |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.942 | 0.969 | $56.03 | +$1.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.23at 0.976Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
- +$1.08at 0.972Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
- +$1.05at 0.979Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
- +$0.98at 0.976Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.72at 0.953Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 13:22 | Will Russia capture Havrylivka by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $20.70 |