notimetowaste
0xbebb2e2772aee58e196c43443b1048935e4b28b8
- Realised P&L
- $-489.90
- Volume
- $77.3k
- Markets traded
- 322
- Open portfolio
- $16.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded322
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$109.91at 0.100Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
- +$90.67at 0.176Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?
- +$73.02at 0.036Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
- +$62.27at 0.150Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
- +$19.57at 0.018Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:33 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0383031696 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 01:32 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2329999866 | $2.23 |
| 09-17 01:32 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999902 | $4.07 |
| 09-17 01:13 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.026 | $1.13 |
| 09-17 00:47 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 00:33 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0229999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 23:56 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 23:13 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.129999993 | $1.85 |
| 09-16 23:11 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $21.60 |
| 09-16 17:54 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $22.40 |
| 09-16 17:46 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.18 |
| 09-16 17:45 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $2.47 |
| 09-16 16:43 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0219999997 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:42 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 07:57 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.25 |