PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

willardjack

0xbeb978ffcfc66e3ca05fe4d3f0aa005bbefb2cd5

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$67.7k
Markets traded
1,029
Open portfolio
$389.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,029
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5500.610$167.27+$16.47
Lions vs. Bills · Bills0.7000.775$83.04+$8.04
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.7390.710$31.69$1.31
Will LSU have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · Yes0.6300.635$30.24+$0.24
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.2340.215$27.67$2.33
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.1630.130$19.07$4.93
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.6700.610$9.10$0.90
Lions vs. Bills · Lions0.3100.225$7.88$2.97
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.0780.056$7.11$2.89
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.3200.185$2.89$2.11
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · Yes0.4440.090$2.02$7.97
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.5700.082$0.71$4.29
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.7200.046$0.32$4.68
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1500.041$0.27$0.73
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 00:15Lions vs. BillsBUY0.31$10.85
09-18 00:12Lions vs. BillsBUY0.6999999981$75.00
09-17 01:22Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.7699999992$20.00
09-16 03:02Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.6099999953$40.00
09-16 02:02Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.17$1.70
09-16 01:50Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.2599999915$3.65
09-16 01:48Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.7699999988$125.00
09-16 01:41Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.2999999976$25.00
09-10 03:30Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.7006204257$8.00
09-10 03:29Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.5599999955$20.00
09-10 03:29Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.5599999955$10.00
09-10 03:27Will LSU have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?BUY0.629999995$10.00
09-10 03:27Will LSU have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?BUY0.629999995$20.00
09-10 00:25Patriots vs. SeahawksBUY0.3799999976$19.30
09-09 00:22Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.5399999875$19.00