willardjack
0xbeb978ffcfc66e3ca05fe4d3f0aa005bbefb2cd5
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $73.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,052
- Open portfolio
- $520.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,052
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$120.05at 0.709Colts vs. Chiefs
- +$94.81at 0.224Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
- +$88.04at 0.541Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
- +$83.84at 0.706LSU vs. Ole Miss
- +$68.77at 0.602Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 17:01 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2738899715 | $36.54 |
| 10-26 22:42 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.72 | $10.79 |
| 10-05 02:18 | Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.47 | $18.80 |
| 10-03 19:38 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.71 | $17.75 |
| 10-01 19:44 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 19:27 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in October? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 19:27 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.8201580872 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 18:38 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | SELL | 0.81 | $13.37 |
| 09-30 20:34 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.58 | $7.54 |
| 09-30 20:34 | Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.57 | $8.50 |
| 09-30 20:33 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 18:04 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 09-30 14:37 | Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.2076190476 | $8.72 |
| 09-30 03:04 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4842960651 | $45.00 |
| 09-30 01:21 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $20.65 |