willardjack
0xbeb978ffcfc66e3ca05fe4d3f0aa005bbefb2cd5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $67.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,029
- Open portfolio
- $389.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,029
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.81at 0.224Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
- +$88.04at 0.541Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
- +$68.77at 0.602Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
- +$68.42at 0.312Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
- +$68.35at 0.586Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:15 | Lions vs. Bills | BUY | 0.31 | $10.85 |
| 09-18 00:12 | Lions vs. Bills | BUY | 0.6999999981 | $75.00 |
| 09-17 01:22 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 03:02 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6099999953 | $40.00 |
| 09-16 02:02 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 09-16 01:50 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.2599999915 | $3.65 |
| 09-16 01:48 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.7699999988 | $125.00 |
| 09-16 01:41 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.2999999976 | $25.00 |
| 09-10 03:30 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7006204257 | $8.00 |
| 09-10 03:29 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $20.00 |
| 09-10 03:29 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 03:27 | Will LSU have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 03:27 | Will LSU have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $20.00 |
| 09-10 00:25 | Patriots vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.3799999976 | $19.30 |
| 09-09 00:22 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5399999875 | $19.00 |