lee3599
0xbeb12aabc22a364c05dddcd58e805edddc7cbec3
- Realised P&L
- $-580.18
- Volume
- $14.0k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $21.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$629.93at 0.627Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
- +$610.00at 0.722Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
- +$522.48at 0.164Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$469.45at 0.716Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
- +$451.01at 0.740Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-04 03:40 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0829999991 | $78.09 |
| 06-04 03:39 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.095999999 | $80.00 |
| 06-04 03:38 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.114999999 | $100.00 |
| 06-04 03:37 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $100.00 |
| 06-04 03:37 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1709999988 | $100.00 |
| 06-04 03:33 | China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $52.27 |
| 06-04 03:33 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? | SELL | 0.992 | $111.45 |
| 03-08 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6990049694 | $6.24 |
| 03-08 16:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3938521259 | $97.15 |
| 03-08 16:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.9391979245 | $99.84 |
| 03-08 16:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6257796592 | $102.64 |
| 03-08 15:59 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? | SELL | 0.935 | $105.52 |
| 03-08 15:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.9750906763 | $900.83 |
| 03-08 15:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.7170821925 | $97.94 |
| 03-08 15:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.426992111 | $97.01 |