PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

lee3599

0xbeb12aabc22a364c05dddcd58e805edddc7cbec3

Realised P&L
$-580.18
Volume
$14.0k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$21.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · No0.7500.915$12.20+$2.20
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1490.029$3.82$16.18
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? · Yes0.1500.053$3.57$6.43
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2700.040$1.46$8.54
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1710.000$0.00$100.00
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.4670.000$0.00$30.00
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (January 18) · No0.5360.000$0.00$14.60
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1150.000$0.00$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00$117.69
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0830.000$0.00$78.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Up0.5810.000$0.00$96.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET · Down0.4880.000$0.00$112.53
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00$80.00
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? · Yes0.4460.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Down0.6130.000$0.00$5.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-04 03:40Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0829999991$78.09
06-04 03:39Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.095999999$80.00
06-04 03:38Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.114999999$100.00
06-04 03:37Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.16$100.00
06-04 03:37Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1709999988$100.00
06-04 03:33China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.92$52.27
06-04 03:33Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?SELL0.992$111.45
03-08 17:59Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.6990049694$6.24
03-08 16:24Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETBUY0.3938521259$97.15
03-08 16:19Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.9391979245$99.84
03-08 16:04Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.6257796592$102.64
03-08 15:59Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?SELL0.935$105.52
03-08 15:54Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETBUY0.9750906763$900.83
03-08 15:51Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETBUY0.7170821925$97.94
03-08 15:49Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETBUY0.426992111$97.01