PolyBot

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Traders

0xbE94bFFC962fb6005B5A5a711072c1af068A7220-1772547390627

0xbe94bffc962fb6005b5a5a711072c1af068a7220

Realised P&L
$57.76
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$67.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.6100.645$26.43+$1.43
Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · Yes0.2380.225$18.94−$1.06
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.8500.935$16.50+$1.50
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2760.159$5.74−$4.26
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1770.000$0.00−$10.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.5020.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April? · No0.4890.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Trump visit China by May 8? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Putin visit China by May 31? · No0.0050.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$1.00
France vs. England: Team to Win · France0.7100.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? · Yes0.8800.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Trump visit China by May 15? · No0.0550.000$0.00−$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 19:26Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?BUY0.2376237614$20.00
07-18 21:01France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.7099999815$10.00
07-08 12:34Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Slovenia?BUY0.8499999787$20.00
07-08 12:32Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.962$20.90
07-01 06:17Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.1$6.90
06-20 21:52Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?BUY0.7399999896$10.00
06-19 06:02Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.8899999947$10.00
06-19 06:02Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.8799999965$10.00
06-19 06:02Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.8899999947$10.00
06-16 08:02Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1769999859$10.00
06-16 08:01Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1449999881$10.00
06-11 07:58Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.6899999869$10.00
06-02 09:36Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.92$20.00
06-02 09:36Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.8499999972$15.00
05-21 07:01Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?BUY0.2347825332$2.00