0xbE94bFFC962fb6005B5A5a711072c1af068A7220-1772547390627
0xbe94bffc962fb6005b5a5a711072c1af068a7220
- Realised P&L
- $57.76
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $67.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.84at 0.243Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
- +$19.99at 0.200Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
- +$13.08at 0.710Will The Left (Levica) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
- +$13.02at 0.430US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
- +$7.14at 0.700Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 19:26 | Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2376237614 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 21:01 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 12:34 | Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Slovenia? | BUY | 0.8499999787 | $20.00 |
| 07-08 12:32 | Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.962 | $20.90 |
| 07-01 06:17 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.1 | $6.90 |
| 06-20 21:52 | Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 06-19 06:02 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 06-19 06:02 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 06-19 06:02 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 06-16 08:02 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1769999859 | $10.00 |
| 06-16 08:01 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1449999881 | $10.00 |
| 06-11 07:58 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.6899999869 | $10.00 |
| 06-02 09:36 | Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $20.00 |
| 06-02 09:36 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.8499999972 | $15.00 |
| 05-21 07:01 | Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31? | BUY | 0.2347825332 | $2.00 |