0xBe86cd06875deE85af72cA1E12A8b577c7f2D515-1778849710907
0xbe86cd06875dee85af72ca1e12a8b577c7f2d515
- Realised P&L
- $-26.03
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $7.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.058 | $4.22 | +$3.22 |
| Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.058 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.565 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.010 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 21? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 21? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 21? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 16? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 16? · No | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.41at 1.002Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$-1.78at 0.956Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 03:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 08:48 | Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0129774191 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 08:10 | Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.0136363635 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 08:08 | Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:49 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.996 | $6.00 |
| 09-21 07:49 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9969998613 | $6.00 |
| 09-21 07:48 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.996 | $6.00 |
| 09-21 07:48 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9962908093 | $6.00 |
| 09-21 07:47 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.995 | $6.00 |
| 09-21 07:47 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9959998984 | $6.00 |
| 09-21 07:46 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.995 | $2.99 |
| 09-21 07:46 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9959997331 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 07:45 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.995 | $0.99 |
| 09-21 07:45 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9959990717 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |