0xBdF61C672bb559282114941e55afE7bcf456CeB2-1775475502459
0xbdf61c672bb559282114941e55afe7bcf456ceb2
- Realised P&L
- $6.6k
- Volume
- $101.7k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $237.22
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No | 0.632 | 0.151 | $119.87 | −$380.13 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June? · Yes | 0.095 | 1.000 | $105.42 | +$95.42 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.017 | $6.11 | −$93.89 |
| Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.055 | $5.81 | −$4.19 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yes | 0.479 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$600.00 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June? · Yes | 0.182 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.508WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13?
- +$1.3kat 0.273US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.199US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$1.1kat 0.485Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
- +$923.47at 0.301Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 05:24 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.38 | $104.50 |
| 05-13 05:24 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.71 | $102.89 |
| 05-13 05:24 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $188.63 |
| 05-13 05:23 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.1628130857 | $173.74 |
| 05-13 05:23 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.32 | $259.46 |
| 05-13 05:23 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | SELL | 0.401735107 | $277.84 |
| 05-13 05:23 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.65 | $532.79 |
| 05-13 05:22 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.639037731 | $849.54 |
| 05-13 05:22 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.53 | $331.25 |
| 04-22 04:53 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.15 | $173.93 |
| 04-21 20:31 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3797511617 | $300.00 |
| 04-21 16:46 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21? | BUY | 0.0599999972 | $18.50 |
| 04-21 16:31 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | SELL | 0.005 | $5.00 |
| 04-20 19:02 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2563672117 | $500.00 |
| 04-20 19:02 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.6787664145 | $400.00 |