PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xBdF61C672bb559282114941e55afE7bcf456CeB2-1775475502459

0xbdf61c672bb559282114941e55afe7bcf456ceb2

Realised P&L
$6.6k
Volume
$101.7k
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$237.22

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.6320.151$119.87$380.13
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June? · Yes0.0951.000$105.42+$95.42
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.2700.017$6.11$93.89
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? · Yes0.0950.055$5.81$4.19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$40.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$30.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yes0.4790.000$0.00$600.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June? · Yes0.1820.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-13 05:24Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.38$104.50
05-13 05:24Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.71$102.89
05-13 05:24US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.83$188.63
05-13 05:23Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.1628130857$173.74
05-13 05:232026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseSELL0.32$259.46
05-13 05:23US x Cuba military clash in 2026?SELL0.401735107$277.84
05-13 05:23Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.65$532.79
05-13 05:22Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.639037731$849.54
05-13 05:22Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.53$331.25
04-22 04:53Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.15$173.93
04-21 20:31US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?BUY0.3797511617$300.00
04-21 16:46Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?BUY0.0599999972$18.50
04-21 16:31Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?SELL0.005$5.00
04-20 19:02US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?BUY0.2563672117$500.00
04-20 19:02US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?BUY0.6787664145$400.00