PolyBot

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Traders

0xbdce9b40f42a2c5a00aa5f948a0a217003b78c44

0xbdce9b40f42a2c5a00aa5f948a0a217003b78c44

Realised P&L
$-7.10
Volume
$197.99
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$7.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.7800.995$2.01+$0.43
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026? · Yes0.5100.735$1.44+$0.44
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes0.2200.245$1.11+$0.11
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · No0.7700.785$1.02+$0.02
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in September? · Yes0.6400.500$0.78−$0.22
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No0.7600.500$0.66−$0.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 22:52Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-26 13:48Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-26 05:47Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
09-25 20:59Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in September?BUY0.64$1.00
09-25 12:55SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-25 03:44Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-24 19:32Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.759999696$1.00
09-24 10:55Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.25$1.00
09-24 10:55Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-24 10:55Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.78$1.00
09-24 02:55Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.71$2.00
09-17 00:47Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?BUY0.2599999896$2.00
09-13 16:03Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.3899999337$2.00
09-13 05:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8$2.00
09-07 20:33Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?BUY0.469999906$2.00