fortuna1001
0xbdbd9dd379c2f356cb5348969bdc737128268d71
- Realised P&L
- $13.7k
- Volume
- $903.9k
- Markets traded
- 265
- Open portfolio
- $4.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded265
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.817Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
- +$2.5kat 0.584Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$2.1kat 0.414Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$2.0kat 0.799Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$1.7kat 0.165Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 17:35 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9099191182 | $450.00 |
| 06-24 09:55 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.4 | $116.29 |
| 06-22 19:48 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.6309655667 | $189.29 |
| 06-22 15:38 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.6495241153 | $30.00 |
| 06-22 15:38 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.6422410813 | $50.00 |
| 06-22 15:37 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.8464000958 | $500.00 |
| 06-21 08:15 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999975 | $50.00 |
| 06-21 08:14 | Starmer out by June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.837085825 | $300.00 |
| 06-21 08:13 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8674431628 | $450.00 |
| 05-05 10:38 | Romania No-Confidence vote passes? | BUY | 0.841881853 | $140.00 |
| 05-05 10:37 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | BUY | 0.9110947832 | $400.00 |
| 05-05 10:34 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | BUY | 0.8960685887 | $1.0k |
| 04-15 14:39 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4178469388 | $40.95 |
| 04-15 14:39 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3899999997 | $600.00 |
| 04-15 14:39 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4165355788 | $600.00 |