PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

fortuna1001

0xbdbd9dd379c2f356cb5348969bdc737128268d71

Realised P&L
$13.7k
Volume
$903.9k
Markets traded
265
Open portfolio
$4.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded265
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · Yes0.9000.953$1.5k+$81.16
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3900.655$1.0k+$407.69
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.8671.000$518.77+$68.77
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.9101.000$494.55+$44.55
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4170.246$379.23$261.72
Starmer out by June 26, 2026? · Yes0.8371.000$358.39+$58.39
Starmer out by June 22, 2026? · Yes0.6201.000$80.65+$30.65
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.6450.006$0.74$79.26
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$15.01
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%? · Yes0.2130.000$0.00$252.71
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.1690.000$0.00$560.00
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$5.00
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$0.50
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.2410.000$0.00$1.4k
Will George Russell finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship? · Yes0.3770.000$0.00$24.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 17:35Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9099191182$450.00
06-24 09:55Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.4$116.29
06-22 19:48Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.6309655667$189.29
06-22 15:38Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.6495241153$30.00
06-22 15:38Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.6422410813$50.00
06-22 15:37Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.8464000958$500.00
06-21 08:15Starmer out by June 22, 2026?BUY0.6199999975$50.00
06-21 08:14Starmer out by June 26, 2026?BUY0.837085825$300.00
06-21 08:13Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.8674431628$450.00
05-05 10:38Romania No-Confidence vote passes?BUY0.841881853$140.00
05-05 10:37Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?BUY0.9110947832$400.00
05-05 10:34Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?BUY0.8960685887$1.0k
04-15 14:39Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4178469388$40.95
04-15 14:39Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3899999997$600.00
04-15 14:39Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4165355788$600.00