againstflow
0xbdb32d60ea500303e46f48a27bb1bead1605c8f0
- Realised P&L
- $-13.92
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $3.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes | 0.202 | 0.097 | $2.40 | −$2.60 |
| Negative GDP growth in 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.021 | $0.68 | −$4.32 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 19? · No | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes | 0.275 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.99at 0.370S&P 500 all time high by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-01 00:27 | Negative GDP growth in 2026? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 01-01 00:12 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.2019999698 | $5.00 |
| 01-01 00:09 | AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.00 |
| 01-01 00:09 | AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0409999923 | $5.00 |
| 12-18 23:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 19? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 12-18 23:28 | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $13.99 |
| 12-16 22:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.2749999565 | $3.00 |
| 12-15 15:27 | AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 12-15 15:26 | AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 12-15 15:11 | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.3699999847 | $7.00 |