lopjuty
0xbd9b50ee4b50ee90b232e1290dd781f266aed2a1
- Realised P&L
- $4.78
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $186.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? · No | 0.955 | 0.984 | $102.28 | +$2.96 |
| Will Jack Della Maddalena become UFC champion in 2026? · No | 0.974 | 0.995 | $84.53 | +$1.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.62at 0.984Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
- +$0.77at 0.972Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
- +$0.67at 0.984Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
- +$0.60at 0.970Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
- +$0.31at 0.994Will Yuri Fulmer win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 12:46 | Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |