BrianBorgu
0xbd869276ec0ed682e5af770377760bc7b2751f67
- Realised P&L
- $-68.51
- Volume
- $157.3k
- Markets traded
- 273
- Open portfolio
- $10.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded273
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$514.61at 0.468Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
- +$259.09at 0.367Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$214.22at 0.528Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
- +$210.16at 0.498Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
- +$183.30at 0.736Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 22:15 | Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.2109999923 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 22:14 | Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999981 | $2.51 |
| 10-31 22:14 | Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.4477611907 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 22:14 | Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.36 | $21.05 |
| 10-31 22:13 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 22:13 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.7099999987 | $60.00 |
| 10-31 22:12 | Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $25.00 |
| 10-31 22:12 | Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.36 | $45.12 |
| 10-31 22:12 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $6.00 |
| 10-31 22:12 | Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 22:11 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 22:11 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 22:11 | Will Republicans win the Georgia Governor election and Democrats win the Georgia Senate election? | SELL | 0.279233 | $83.77 |
| 10-28 08:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7699999968 | $24.00 |
| 10-28 07:59 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.044 | $21.56 |