0xbd8338C6D4e1E25B28D1A95Db926D2CeF689632f-1722693437734
0xbd8338c6d4e1e25b28d1a95db926d2cef689632f
- Realised P&L
- $218.34
- Volume
- $12.8k
- Markets traded
- 277
- Open portfolio
- $389.54
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded277
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$170.00at 0.150US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
- +$89.76at 0.120US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$79.24at 0.570Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$30.02at 0.562Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$28.82at 0.662Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 14:58 | Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.6199999902 | $23.99 |
| 10-17 14:54 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.6429999972 | $25.00 |
| 10-16 19:31 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.353 | $9.29 |
| 10-16 19:31 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $5.62 |
| 10-05 19:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | SELL | 0.63 | $11.05 |
| 10-05 19:02 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October? | BUY | 0.5699999074 | $1.60 |
| 10-05 19:01 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $25.00 |
| 10-04 08:17 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6 | $17.76 |
| 10-04 08:16 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.473 | $8.82 |
| 10-04 06:42 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6199999971 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 06:42 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5899999957 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 06:35 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.6499999881 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 06:35 | Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999924 | $25.00 |
| 10-04 06:34 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999918 | $25.00 |
| 10-02 05:00 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6 | $17.76 |