PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xbd8338C6D4e1E25B28D1A95Db926D2CeF689632f-1722693437734

0xbd8338c6d4e1e25b28d1a95db926d2cef689632f

Realised P&L
$218.34
Volume
$12.8k
Markets traded
277
Open portfolio
$389.54

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded277
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 14:58Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.6199999902$23.99
10-17 14:54Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.6429999972$25.00
10-16 19:31Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.353$9.29
10-16 19:31Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?SELL0.36$5.62
10-05 19:16Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?SELL0.63$11.05
10-05 19:02Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?BUY0.5699999074$1.60
10-05 19:01Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?BUY0.5699999886$25.00
10-04 08:17Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.6$17.76
10-04 08:16Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.473$8.82
10-04 06:42Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6199999971$30.00
10-04 06:42Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5899999957$30.00
10-04 06:35Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.6499999881$30.00
10-04 06:35Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?BUY0.5299999924$25.00
10-04 06:34Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.5399999918$25.00
10-02 05:00Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.6$17.76