PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

2Sherlock

0xbd81954a4ebce3a843feb3fc6ebf439cf1c6006d

Realised P&L
$3.5k
Volume
$108.8k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)79.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 15:20Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.51$116.84
10-08 15:20Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.3834681182$24.66
10-07 17:38Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?BUY0.029$2.15
10-07 17:38Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?BUY0.029$50.00
10-07 09:42Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?SELL0.2287644046$3.57
10-07 09:35Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?SELL0.9794720438$411.67
10-04 08:46Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?SELL0.985$31.78
10-02 23:36Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?BUY0.874$174.80
10-02 23:33Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.999$55.94
10-02 18:05Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.994$340.94
09-30 21:43Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?SELL0.4390557129$23.25
09-30 20:14Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9532408988$97.14
09-30 19:11Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?BUY0.3575003646$24.51
09-30 19:10Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?SELL0.999$3.5k
09-30 14:14Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?BUY0.47$251.00