2597
0xbd5a031cb2c894a59f092cad80f180e2b5cc6eba
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $3.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-53.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.019 | $3.22 | +$0.41 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · No | 0.197 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.56 |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-21? · No | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.7k |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $111K on August 25? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.23 |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.09at 0.856LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-In
- +$11.38at 0.912LoL: BOMBA Team vs Orbit Anonymo (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs
- +$10.00at 0.950Clippers vs. Rockets
- +$6.09at 0.789Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in scoring?
- +$1.80at 0.960Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $120K on July 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:58 | Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? | BUY | 0.0170012121 | $2.81 |
| 08-26 09:05 | LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-In | BUY | 0.85 | $95.20 |
| 07-17 04:27 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.64 | $30.08 |
| 05-26 13:13 | LoL: BOMBA Team vs Orbit Anonymo (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs | BUY | 0.91 | $118.30 |
| 09-22 12:45 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-21? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.7k |
| 09-09 12:59 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.197 | $68.56 |
| 08-23 05:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $111K on August 25? | BUY | 0.033 | $10.23 |
| 07-21 13:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $120K on July 21? | BUY | 0.96 | $43.20 |
| 07-21 13:27 | Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025? | SELL | 0.94 | $62.98 |
| 04-11 12:53 | Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025? | BUY | 0.93 | $62.31 |
| 04-11 12:50 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before July? | SELL | 0.978 | $73.35 |
| 02-19 01:46 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before July? | BUY | 0.964 | $72.30 |
| 02-19 01:45 | Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in scoring? | SELL | 0.992 | $17.81 |
| 12-10 11:26 | Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in scoring? | BUY | 0.789 | $23.67 |