PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

2597

0xbd5a031cb2c894a59f092cad80f180e2b5cc6eba

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$5.3k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$3.22

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-53.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? · Yes0.0170.019$3.22+$0.41
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · No0.1970.000$0.00$68.56
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-21? · No0.7700.000$0.00$2.7k
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $111K on August 25? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$10.23
France vs. England: Team to Win · France0.6400.000$0.00$30.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:58Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? BUY0.0170012121$2.81
08-26 09:05LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-InBUY0.85$95.20
07-17 04:27France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.64$30.08
05-26 13:13LoL: BOMBA Team vs Orbit Anonymo (BO5) - Rift Legends PlayoffsBUY0.91$118.30
09-22 12:45Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-21?BUY0.77$2.7k
09-09 12:59Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.197$68.56
08-23 05:23Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $111K on August 25?BUY0.033$10.23
07-21 13:28Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $120K on July 21?BUY0.96$43.20
07-21 13:27Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?SELL0.94$62.98
04-11 12:53Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?BUY0.93$62.31
04-11 12:50Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?SELL0.978$73.35
02-19 01:46Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?BUY0.964$72.30
02-19 01:45Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in scoring?SELL0.992$17.81
12-10 11:26Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in scoring?BUY0.789$23.67