PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xBd36b727547aE56A0Fa661Da736c764968122c00-1775351615385

0xbd36b727547ae56a0fa661da736c764968122c00

Realised P&L
$589.23
Volume
$38.2k
Markets traded
289
Open portfolio
$362.45

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded289
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.4980.545$79.91+$6.91
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · No0.5440.645$65.19+$10.19
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3420.591$48.33+$20.33
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3210.275$34.24$5.76
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1000.298$29.80+$19.80
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.3800.595$23.49+$8.49
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.3780.345$18.24$1.76
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.0890.065$18.15$6.85
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1500.00 and 1549.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1920.288$16.55+$5.55
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1400.00 and 1449.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1210.040$8.20$16.88
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1550.00 and 1599.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1630.147$6.33$0.67
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1450.00 and 1499.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1490.045$5.43$12.57
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.3500.415$3.56+$0.56
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes0.0100.006$3.25$1.75
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? · No0.5400.390$1.44$0.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 17:162026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.2899999884$5.00
09-22 17:152026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.0699999999$10.00
09-22 17:152026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.2899999996$15.00
09-22 17:152026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.3499999988$15.00
09-22 17:15Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?BUY0.5399999568$2.00
09-22 17:15Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1550.00 and 1599.99 at the end of December 2026?BUY0.2729999749$1.00
09-22 17:15Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1550.00 and 1599.99 at the end of December 2026?BUY0.2729999749$1.00
09-22 17:14Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1500.00 and 1549.99 at the end of December 2026?BUY0.3806924949$3.00
09-02 18:262026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5$5.00
09-02 18:262026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.1099999938$15.00
09-02 18:262026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.3599999921$20.00
09-02 18:262026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseBUY0.01$5.00
08-27 16:18Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1400.00 and 1449.99 at the end of December 2026?BUY0.1689998814$1.00
08-27 16:18Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1450.00 and 1499.99 at the end of December 2026?BUY0.1959998738$1.00
08-27 16:18Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1500.00 and 1549.99 at the end of December 2026?BUY0.1979998432$1.00