PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xBd36b727547aE56A0Fa661Da736c764968122c00-1775351615385

0xbd36b727547ae56a0fa661da736c764968122c00

Realised P&L
$700.96
Volume
$36.9k
Markets traded
285
Open portfolio
$153.62

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded285
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.4980.515$75.51+$2.51
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · No0.5440.575$58.11+$3.11
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1400.00 and 1449.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1190.031$6.25$17.83
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1550.00 and 1599.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1400.099$3.54$1.46
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2670.276$3.09+$0.09
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1500.00 and 1549.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1500.076$2.55$2.45
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0800.033$2.03$2.97
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.0100.002$0.93$5.07
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.3500.095$0.81$2.19
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1450.00 and 1499.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1520.006$0.59$14.41
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners · Over0.6000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2440.000$0.00$20.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6150.000$0.00$20.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.2730.000$0.00$1.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 17:52Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.5899999705$5.00
07-28 17:51Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1500.00 and 1549.99 at the end of December 2026?BUY0.149999976$5.00
07-28 17:51Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1550.00 and 1599.99 at the end of December 2026?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
07-28 15:54Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.0096463023$6.00
07-25 01:46Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.5$63.00
07-20 15:27Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2674054249$3.00
07-20 15:26Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.4899999804$5.00
07-20 15:26Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.5399999985$50.00
07-19 20:08Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsBUY0.096001536$2.00
07-19 20:06Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsBUY0.25$5.00
07-19 20:05Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.0599999865$4.00
07-19 20:04Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.15$3.00
07-19 20:04Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1099999685$3.00
07-19 20:03Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?BUY0.2299999751$6.00
07-19 20:02Argentina to score first vs. Spain?BUY0.289999964$5.00