PolyBot

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Traders

0xbd34760cc79071ed11514de583c008b75ceb6ad8

0xbd34760cc79071ed11514de583c008b75ceb6ad8

Realised P&L
$-3.32
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
636
Open portfolio
$40.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded636
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$5.37$0.08
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.976$5.32$0.13
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.974$5.31$0.14
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.961$5.24$0.21
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.955$5.21$0.24
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.890$4.85$0.59
Will CPRF win the next Chuvashia Parliament elections? · No0.9990.995$4.81$0.02
Will Hannes Hanso be the next President of Estonia? · No0.9990.998$2.47$0.00
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.9980.299$1.63$3.82
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET · Down0.9600.000$0.00$5.55
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election? · Yes0.9900.000$0.00$5.04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30? · No0.5000.000$0.00$2.73
Will Keir Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions? · Yes0.9900.000$0.00$5.35
Will Kahrabaa Ismailia FC win on 2026-05-04? · No0.9700.000$0.00$5.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 23:57Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.999$4.83
09-21 10:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6AM ETBUY0.999$4.82
09-21 06:55Dogecoin Up or Down - September 21, 2AM ETBUY0.999$4.82
09-20 19:59Will CPRF win the next Chuvashia Parliament elections?BUY0.999$4.83
09-20 19:57Will CPRF win the next Chechnya Parliament elections?BUY0.999$4.83
09-20 19:57Will United Russia win the next Chechnya Parliament elections?BUY0.999$4.83
09-20 05:59XRP Up or Down - September 20, 1AM ETBUY0.98$4.82
09-20 04:57BNB Up or Down - September 20, 12AM ETBUY0.99$4.82
09-20 04:57Dogecoin Up or Down - September 20, 12AM ETBUY0.99$4.82
09-20 03:56Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 19, 2026?BUY0.999$1.00
09-18 15:57Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.999$4.83
09-18 08:57XRP Up or Down - September 18, 4AM ETBUY0.99$4.77
09-18 03:57Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 17, 2026?BUY0.999$4.77
09-18 03:56Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 17, 2026?BUY0.998$4.77
09-18 01:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9PM ETBUY0.99$4.77