0xbd34760cc79071ed11514de583c008b75ceb6ad8
0xbd34760cc79071ed11514de583c008b75ceb6ad8
- Realised P&L
- $-3.32
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 636
- Open portfolio
- $40.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded636
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.71at 0.500Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on October 30?
- +$2.71at 0.500Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 57-58°F on October 30?
- +$1.33at 0.800Meta (META) Up or Down on November 20?
- +$0.44at 0.916XRP Up or Down - September 17, 3PM ET
- +$0.28at 0.944Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 23:57 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.83 |
| 09-21 10:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $4.82 |
| 09-21 06:55 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 21, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $4.82 |
| 09-20 19:59 | Will CPRF win the next Chuvashia Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.83 |
| 09-20 19:57 | Will CPRF win the next Chechnya Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.83 |
| 09-20 19:57 | Will United Russia win the next Chechnya Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.83 |
| 09-20 05:59 | XRP Up or Down - September 20, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.82 |
| 09-20 04:57 | BNB Up or Down - September 20, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.82 |
| 09-20 04:57 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 20, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.82 |
| 09-20 03:56 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 15:57 | Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.83 |
| 09-18 08:57 | XRP Up or Down - September 18, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.77 |
| 09-18 03:57 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.77 |
| 09-18 03:56 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.77 |
| 09-18 01:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.77 |