PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ajmakid

0xbd027736f0f460f4747a2ad11f34dfd70c5260e0

Realised P&L
$7.5k
Volume
$906.6k
Markets traded
469
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded469
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4930.855$1.0k+$433.97
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6000.930$465.01+$165.18
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4690.820$316.58+$135.35
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7200.935$284.24+$65.36
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.3500.555$49.95+$18.45
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.001$18.95$93.69
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1070.002$10.63$745.16
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0130.002$9.04$66.82
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0260.001$5.46$278.34
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$342.83
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$26.00
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1480.000$0.00$129.73
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.1870.000$0.00$65.64
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev · Rafael Jodar0.3650.000$0.00$277.39
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$112.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 01:54Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.003$1.44
07-29 01:54Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.003$3.00
07-28 22:26Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.002$2.00
07-07 17:08Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?SELL0.9542117033$153.61
07-07 17:08Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.777$570.96
07-02 13:18Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.027$13.50
07-01 16:47Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.033$99.00
07-01 16:46Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.26$26.00
06-25 20:11Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.761$77.87
06-25 20:11Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.76$480.70
06-25 20:11Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.003$40.05
06-25 20:11Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.003$33.87
06-25 20:11Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.003$36.56
06-25 20:10Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.026$283.81
06-22 12:43Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.19$47.49