ajmakid
0xbd027736f0f460f4747a2ad11f34dfd70c5260e0
- Realised P&L
- $7.5k
- Volume
- $906.6k
- Markets traded
- 469
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded469
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$999.00at 0.001Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
- +$897.63at 0.880Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?
- +$702.08at 0.312Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
- +$481.30at 0.895No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?
- +$479.13at 0.799Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 01:54 | Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.44 |
| 07-29 01:54 | Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 07-28 22:26 | Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 07-07 17:08 | Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? | SELL | 0.9542117033 | $153.61 |
| 07-07 17:08 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.777 | $570.96 |
| 07-02 13:18 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.027 | $13.50 |
| 07-01 16:47 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.033 | $99.00 |
| 07-01 16:46 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 06-25 20:11 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.761 | $77.87 |
| 06-25 20:11 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.76 | $480.70 |
| 06-25 20:11 | Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $40.05 |
| 06-25 20:11 | Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $33.87 |
| 06-25 20:11 | Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $36.56 |
| 06-25 20:10 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.026 | $283.81 |
| 06-22 12:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $47.49 |