PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Jake-9527

0xbd01100b025a48485070ae6c8bb9ff676223b253

Realised P&L
$-31.46
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$15.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3270.145$4.43$5.57
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1420.112$3.93$1.07
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0410.029$3.48$1.52
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0330.014$2.11$2.89
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0060.002$1.31$3.69
Pacers vs. Clippers · Pacers0.1600.000$0.00$5.00
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs · FUT Esports0.4600.000$0.00$4.60
Jazz vs. Kings · Jazz0.4200.000$0.00$2.85
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 · paiN0.3100.000$0.00$1.55
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs · Aurora Gaming0.4000.000$0.00$4.00
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 3 Winner · Aurora Gaming0.0500.000$0.00$5.00
Hornets vs. Celtics · Celtics0.0740.000$0.00$8.50
Pacers vs. Trail Blazers · Pacers0.2100.000$0.00$3.00
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 4 Winner · Aurora Gaming0.1500.000$0.00$5.00
Lakers vs. Nuggets · Lakers0.3600.000$0.00$1.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 01:08Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2199999727$5.00
08-12 17:38Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?SELL0.081$1.01
07-31 19:29Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?BUY0.4028557483$5.00
07-29 20:36Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0409999923$5.00
07-29 20:36Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.1419999781$5.00
07-29 20:31Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8899999947$10.00
07-18 05:32Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?BUY0.8609999918$10.00
07-10 21:47Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5099999786$10.00
07-01 19:30Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?BUY0.033250078$5.00
07-01 17:51Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?SELL0.557$6.68
06-30 20:17Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.64$5.00
06-30 18:59Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.407999982$4.90
06-30 18:51China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?SELL0.91$5.01
04-13 00:40China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.8699999891$4.80
04-13 00:17Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?SELL0.32$4.80