Jake-9527
0xbd01100b025a48485070ae6c8bb9ff676223b253
- Realised P&L
- $-31.46
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $15.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.26at 0.527Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$6.60at 0.340Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
- +$6.45at 0.310Hornets vs. Celtics
- +$3.89at 0.350Hornets vs. Suns
- +$3.75at 0.070Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 01:08 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 08-12 17:38 | Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.081 | $1.01 |
| 07-31 19:29 | Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4028557483 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 20:36 | Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0409999923 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 20:36 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1419999781 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 20:31 | Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 05:32 | Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.8609999918 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 21:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 19:30 | Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.033250078 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 17:51 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.557 | $6.68 |
| 06-30 20:17 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 18:59 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.407999982 | $4.90 |
| 06-30 18:51 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $5.01 |
| 04-13 00:40 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.8699999891 | $4.80 |
| 04-13 00:17 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | SELL | 0.32 | $4.80 |