PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Hdbeh655

0xbcfe65402a38e281affe94770381f19eb061ee58

Realised P&L
$2.9k
Volume
$88.9k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$4.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration85.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · Yes0.7370.895$2.2k+$388.26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6350.475$906.49−$305.88
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6550.645$645.00−$10.00
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? · Yes0.7160.369$554.03−$519.45
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8600.799$405.80−$30.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 17:16Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?BUY0.412$106.88
10-18 12:47Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?BUY0.7759583333$186.23
10-18 12:47Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?BUY0.780015873$491.41
10-18 02:52Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?BUY0.5401158394$283.67
10-13 13:54Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?SELL0.85$25.50
10-13 13:53Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?SELL0.85$144.50
10-13 13:53Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?SELL0.86$56.91
10-13 13:52Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?SELL0.86$30.96
10-13 13:51Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?SELL0.89$89.00
10-13 13:49Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?SELL0.88$8.80
10-12 07:53Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?BUY0.81$24.30
10-12 07:52Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?BUY0.81$21.87
10-12 07:52Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?BUY0.81$21.87
10-12 00:13Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?BUY0.95$189.98
10-11 06:39US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.9590550242$93.25