0xbcfc04efa9e1fb66bd7b407c79ba65c6d6967094
0xbcfc04efa9e1fb66bd7b407c79ba65c6d6967094
- Realised P&L
- $9.78
- Volume
- $445.66
- Markets traded
- 156
- Open portfolio
- $7.58
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded156
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? · Up | 0.730 | 1.000 | $1.37 | +$0.37 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.250 | $1.36 | −$0.93 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No | 0.799 | 0.922 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.225 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? · No | 0.680 | 0.665 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.670 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.605 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.34at 0.300US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$4.80at 0.329Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$4.64at 0.330Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E35?
- +$4.59at 0.339Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$4.19at 0.359Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 Week of August 17 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 19:25 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:24 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7989999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:24 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:23 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:21 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 10:31 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 02:31 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:52 | Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:18 | SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 15:59 | Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 11:48 | Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 07:56 | Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 13:17 | Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 20:08 | Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 17:59 | Will El Salvador win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |