PolyBot

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Traders

0xbcfc04efa9e1fb66bd7b407c79ba65c6d6967094

0xbcfc04efa9e1fb66bd7b407c79ba65c6d6967094

Realised P&L
$9.78
Volume
$445.66
Markets traded
156
Open portfolio
$7.58

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded156
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? · Up0.7301.000$1.37+$0.37
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.4200.250$1.36−$0.93
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No0.7990.922$1.15+$0.15
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? · Yes0.2300.225$0.98−$0.02
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? · No0.6800.665$0.98−$0.02
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.7400.670$0.91−$0.09
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No0.7300.605$0.83−$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 19:25Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-09 11:24Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.7989999696$1.00
10-09 03:24S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-08 19:23Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-08 19:21Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-08 10:31Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-08 02:31Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-07 14:52Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-07 14:18SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-06 15:59Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.64$1.00
10-06 11:48Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-06 07:56Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-05 13:17Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5BUY0.64$1.00
10-04 20:08Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-04 17:59Will El Salvador win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.6299998362$1.00