0xbcEB8D0a2e2E39dAC8f8cf2d2A410fBB795ebf4B-1773665898402
0xbceb8d0a2e2e39dac8f8cf2d2a410fbb795ebf4b
- Realised P&L
- $-107.89
- Volume
- $16.0k
- Markets traded
- 689
- Open portfolio
- $71.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded689
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.55at 0.115Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on April 23?
- +$15.63at 0.263Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
- +$12.33at 0.801Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 12?
- +$12.00at 0.074Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
- +$9.00at 0.850Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 23:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | SELL | 0.64 | $0.92 |
| 10-14 23:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 23:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $5.78 |
| 10-14 23:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 23:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | SELL | 0.62 | $1.22 |
| 10-14 23:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 23:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | SELL | 0.27 | $1.08 |
| 10-14 23:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 23:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $0.83 |
| 10-14 23:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | SELL | 0.85 | $26.56 |
| 10-14 23:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $25.00 |
| 10-14 23:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 23:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | SELL | 0.9 | $5.76 |
| 10-14 23:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | BUY | 0.7821781915 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 23:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | SELL | 0.76 | $5.20 |