JohnnyBlaze1
0xbccb59fc8ec2628cb59f62fb355e8e83a30131e2
- Realised P&L
- $3.9k
- Volume
- $172.4k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.307 | 0.275 | $580.34 | −$67.70 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.388 | 0.215 | $260.80 | −$210.14 |
| Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship? · Yes | 0.516 | 0.670 | $204.70 | +$46.99 |
| Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? · Yes | 0.492 | 0.575 | $157.74 | +$22.73 |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.120 | 0.065 | $65.00 | −$55.00 |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.065 | $65.00 | −$55.00 |
| Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.001 | $0.56 | −$10.57 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$426.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.043Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
- +$491.75at 0.203Will New Zealand win in regulation?
- +$159.39at 0.018Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$128.61at 0.418Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?
- +$54.47at 0.050Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:14 | Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.01 | $6.59 |
| 10-31 21:49 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.027 | $4.80 |
| 10-31 21:33 | Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.13 |
| 10-31 21:33 | Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.01 | $11.00 |
| 10-31 21:28 | Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.30 |
| 10-31 21:25 | Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.015 | $0.27 |
| 10-29 16:30 | Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.015 | $12.00 |
| 10-26 09:07 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.06 | $18.00 |
| 10-24 22:33 | Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.84 | $84.00 |
| 10-24 22:06 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.0012614938 | $28.52 |
| 10-16 15:38 | Will Union Bordeaux Begles win? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 10-16 14:42 | Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | BUY | 0.46 | $23.00 |
| 10-15 20:47 | Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | BUY | 0.48 | $24.00 |
| 10-09 14:24 | Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.54 | $54.00 |
| 10-09 13:37 | Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.36 | $9.00 |