Chegildek
0xbcc276705fb6d5a22e4aef994ede92f109918c9a
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $1.40M
- Markets traded
- 2,773
- Open portfolio
- $814.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,773
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.363Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
- +$1.1kat 0.057US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$730.98at 0.050US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$664.55at 0.243Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
- +$629.20at 0.156UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 11:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 08-09 06:05 | Databricks IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.75 |
| 08-09 03:54 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.87 |
| 08-08 21:27 | Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 08-08 21:26 | Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.48 | $10.56 |
| 08-08 15:44 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 08-08 13:32 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.627 | $6.27 |
| 08-08 13:32 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.627 | $6.27 |
| 08-08 13:32 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.38 | $4.56 |
| 08-08 11:58 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 08-08 10:49 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.685 | $12.33 |
| 08-08 09:58 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.682836 | $13.66 |
| 08-08 07:13 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? | BUY | 0.65 | $7.80 |
| 08-08 02:53 | Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $13.80 |
| 08-08 02:38 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.599 | $13.78 |