PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Chegildek

0xbcc276705fb6d5a22e4aef994ede92f109918c9a

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$1.40M
Markets traded
2,773
Open portfolio
$814.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,773
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.9400.955$34.38+$0.54
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? · No0.7430.935$31.07+$6.37
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · No0.9100.988$25.68+$2.02
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.8870.790$25.44$3.11
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.5430.770$20.40+$6.03
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.9590.999$19.97+$0.79
Databricks IPO before 2027? · No0.9100.953$18.74+$0.84
Glean IPO before 2027? · No0.9050.985$18.71+$1.52
Discord IPO before 2027? · No0.7190.884$17.87+$3.34
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.8440.977$17.45+$2.36
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.7900.765$17.41$0.58
Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.5930.785$17.27+$4.21
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · No0.8760.840$16.93$0.72
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.7920.765$16.92$0.59
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? · No0.8430.982$16.89+$2.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 11:43US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.52$10.40
08-09 06:05Databricks IPO before 2027?BUY0.08$0.75
08-09 03:54Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?BUY0.51$2.87
08-08 21:27Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.49$9.80
08-08 21:26Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.48$10.56
08-08 15:44Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.29$2.90
08-08 13:32Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.627$6.27
08-08 13:32Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.627$6.27
08-08 13:32Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.38$4.56
08-08 11:58Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.91$9.10
08-08 10:49Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.685$12.33
08-08 09:58Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.682836$13.66
08-08 07:13Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?BUY0.65$7.80
08-08 02:53Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?BUY0.92$13.80
08-08 02:38Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.599$13.78