Chegildek
0xbcc276705fb6d5a22e4aef994ede92f109918c9a
- Realised P&L
- $2.6k
- Volume
- $1.39M
- Markets traded
- 2,773
- Open portfolio
- $860.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,773
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.057US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$730.98at 0.050US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$664.55at 0.243Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
- +$629.20at 0.156UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
- +$571.36at 0.495Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 23:14 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.48 | $6.30 |
| 08-03 22:16 | Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 08-03 20:20 | Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.409 | $9.82 |
| 08-03 20:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $7.68 |
| 08-03 19:54 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 08-03 18:58 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.93 | $10.23 |
| 08-03 18:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.60 |
| 08-03 17:08 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? | BUY | 0.628 | $16.33 |
| 08-03 10:00 | Remote IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $0.67 |
| 08-03 06:11 | Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $10.62 |
| 08-03 05:05 | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.79 | $11.85 |
| 08-03 00:27 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 08-02 22:41 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.183 | $3.29 |
| 08-02 22:41 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.168 | $0.84 |
| 08-02 22:26 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.69 | $13.11 |