PolyBot

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Traders

WhimsyBird

0xbcb6cbc04b15857a54f592322c4106b08976b74b

Realised P&L
$-66.37
Volume
$38.5k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$71.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be less than 82%? · Yes0.0930.189$47.95+$24.42
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0800.065$16.25$3.75
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%? · No0.0700.345$5.32+$4.24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0090.009$1.06+$0.06
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.001$0.50$1.50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.002$0.38$0.62
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes? · Yes0.1580.001$0.04$11.54
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner · Passion UA0.0520.000$0.00$2.59
Will Reform UK win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$6.00
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage · Monte0.1410.000$0.00$4.23
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs · fnatic0.1770.000$0.00$5.30
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner · Team Falcons0.4000.000$0.00$2.00
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z - Map 2 Winner · 9z0.0370.000$0.00$3.70
Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$8.00
Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$8.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 22:03Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?SELL0.0622039286$17.42
09-14 17:42Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be less than 82%?BUY0.0728848442$2.08
09-14 17:40Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%?BUY0.07$1.08
09-13 22:07Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.18$50.40
09-13 20:42Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?SELL0.05$0.79
09-13 20:41Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?SELL0.06$3.72
09-13 20:04Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be less than 82%?SELL0.1$1.00
09-13 19:21Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.09$1.58
09-13 19:01Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be less than 82%?BUY0.2547843533$8.83
09-13 19:00Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be less than 82%?BUY0.0576957253$9.26
09-13 18:58Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?SELL0.160792873$74.81
09-13 18:39Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?BUY0.128686114$10.00
09-13 18:37Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.1789616449$10.00
09-11 09:17Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$2.00
09-10 20:26Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0089999999$1.00