paraparaparaa
0xbcb2e53f35067780b281be0694d9fd69155baaa8
- Realised P&L
- $9.39
- Volume
- $20.0k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $74.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.52at 0.550UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
- +$2.46at 0.197Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
- +$2.16at 0.815UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$1.90at 0.162Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.80at 0.003Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 00:28 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2 | $6.00 |
| 10-17 22:17 | Will Behemoth! win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.38 |
| 10-17 19:34 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.15 |
| 10-17 16:44 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.56 |
| 10-16 23:34 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 10-16 23:19 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 10-16 23:19 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 10-16 12:53 | Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs | BUY | 0.016 | $1.12 |
| 10-15 18:03 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 17:49 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 10-15 17:43 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 10-15 17:42 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.771 | $3.85 |
| 07-02 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 07-02 03:26 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.19 |
| 07-02 01:10 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |