PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

paraparaparaa

0xbcb2e53f35067780b281be0694d9fd69155baaa8

Realised P&L
$9.39
Volume
$20.0k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$74.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? · No0.9090.914$36.58+$0.20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7680.791$11.87+$0.36
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? · Yes0.8200.795$7.95−$0.25
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? · Yes0.6650.705$7.05+$0.40
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2000.205$6.15+$0.15
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? · No0.0210.015$2.25−$0.90
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? · Yes0.4200.395$1.98−$0.13
Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0020.002$0.60+$0.00
Will Behemoth! win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0040.004$0.33−$0.05
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 2? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1840.000$0.00−$0.92
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs · fnatic0.0230.000$0.00−$2.82
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 1? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.30
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) · Ilia Topuria0.8000.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 00:28Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2$6.00
10-17 22:17Will Behemoth! win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.004$0.38
10-17 19:34Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?SELL0.29$5.15
10-17 16:44Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.2$3.56
10-16 23:34Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.42$2.10
10-16 23:19Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?BUY0.65$3.25
10-16 23:19Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?BUY0.8$4.00
10-16 12:53Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III PlayoffsBUY0.016$1.12
10-15 18:03Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.2$1.00
10-15 17:49Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?BUY0.84$4.20
10-15 17:43Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?BUY0.68$3.40
10-15 17:42Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.771$3.85
07-02 04:58Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 2?BUY0.98$4.90
07-02 03:26Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 2?SELL0.001$0.19
07-02 01:10US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?BUY0.96$4.80