Eric0x01
0xbcb1906104da9785f5dd1dd3ee1fec4edfedadc4
- Realised P&L
- $-205.71
- Volume
- $38.5k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $356.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No | 0.909 | 0.946 | $95.50 | +$3.69 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.854 | 0.865 | $86.50 | +$1.10 |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.520 | 0.961 | $48.02 | +$22.02 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.760 | 0.795 | $39.75 | +$1.75 |
| Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.330 | $39.60 | −$14.40 |
| Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? · No | 0.620 | 0.735 | $36.75 | +$5.75 |
| Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.135 | $6.75 | −$19.75 |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.120 | $3.52 | −$18.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$124.00at 0.927Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
- +$101.70at 0.944Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
- +$86.87at 0.855Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?
- +$79.50at 0.100Seeker FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$76.15at 0.803Lighter FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 07:38 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 05-28 06:20 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | SELL | 0.0780016003 | $7.80 |
| 05-11 03:18 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.909 | $91.81 |
| 04-29 07:28 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $9.50 |
| 03-30 07:29 | Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? | SELL | 0.042 | $4.20 |
| 03-26 08:32 | Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 03-09 03:45 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.113 | $11.30 |
| 03-01 02:24 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $976.08 |
| 03-01 02:23 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $996.00 |
| 02-27 06:54 | Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $18.00 |
| 02-25 06:00 | Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | SELL | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 02-25 02:41 | Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 02-24 15:58 | Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.63 | $63.00 |
| 02-24 15:54 | Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.992 | $99.20 |
| 02-17 13:19 | Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.74 | $36.21 |