PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xbcaa1471a8e46f48285bcf44be963f4dacd8de1b

Realised P&L
$-23.15
Volume
$470.87
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$26.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Maduro guilty of all counts? · Yes0.3170.205$7.12$3.88
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5300.595$5.88+$0.64
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6300.435$4.83$2.17
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1720.081$3.74$4.26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3200.165$2.71$2.54
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1150.105$2.22$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-09 04:052026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5299999767$5.24
04-09 04:02Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.32$5.25
04-08 13:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8?SELL0.41$10.96
04-08 09:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8?BUY0.4389999945$11.24
04-08 09:08Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.91$5.02
04-08 09:08Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?SELL0.901$6.22
04-07 10:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 7?SELL0.08$1.12
04-06 16:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 7?BUY0.5$6.74
04-06 12:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 6?SELL0.957$7.28
04-05 23:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 6?BUY0.76$5.69
04-05 23:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6?BUY0.2239999778$5.23
04-05 23:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7?SELL0.9$11.93
04-05 19:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7?BUY0.75$9.76
04-05 19:11Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?SELL0.46$10.22
04-05 19:04Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 5?BUY0.5799999714$6.10