0xbcaa1471a8e46f48285bcf44be963f4dacd8de1b
- Realised P&L
- $-23.15
- Volume
- $470.87
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $26.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maduro guilty of all counts? · Yes | 0.317 | 0.205 | $7.12 | −$3.88 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.530 | 0.595 | $5.88 | +$0.64 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.435 | $4.83 | −$2.17 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.172 | 0.081 | $3.74 | −$4.26 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.165 | $2.71 | −$2.54 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.105 | $2.22 | −$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.09at 0.637Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7?
- +$7.40at 0.623Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 3?
- +$5.43at 0.624Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 2?
- +$5.06at 0.641Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 6?
- +$4.68at 0.637Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-09 04:05 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5299999767 | $5.24 |
| 04-09 04:02 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.25 |
| 04-08 13:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8? | SELL | 0.41 | $10.96 |
| 04-08 09:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8? | BUY | 0.4389999945 | $11.24 |
| 04-08 09:08 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $5.02 |
| 04-08 09:08 | Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? | SELL | 0.901 | $6.22 |
| 04-07 10:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 7? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.12 |
| 04-06 16:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 7? | BUY | 0.5 | $6.74 |
| 04-06 12:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 6? | SELL | 0.957 | $7.28 |
| 04-05 23:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 6? | BUY | 0.76 | $5.69 |
| 04-05 23:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6? | BUY | 0.2239999778 | $5.23 |
| 04-05 23:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7? | SELL | 0.9 | $11.93 |
| 04-05 19:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7? | BUY | 0.75 | $9.76 |
| 04-05 19:11 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $10.22 |
| 04-05 19:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 5? | BUY | 0.5799999714 | $6.10 |